The last couple of weeks have reflected a relatively sleepy period as the Summer of Chaos 2016 transitions into the "Expect The Unexpected" Fall of 2016. (thank you, W., for the new seasonal slogan!) Let's highlight three developments that have suddenly congealed on the calendar:
1. Zbigniew Brzezinski practically concedes defeat of the old Grand Chessboard agenda. (linked here.)
2. This defeat largely a result of what Pepe Escobar now calls "The Double Pivot" as the new BMB alignment of Berlin-Moscow-Beijing becomes obvious. (linked here.)
3. The "Coming Out Party" for China gets ready to launch next week at the G20 Summit in Hangzhou and coincides with the first sale of the SDR Bond. (linked here and here.)
The pregnancy of the new global order appears to have reached its final trimester. I'm not going to tell you what to conclude about these developments nor make any prediction of what comes next. Right now, the feeling I get is that we need to just try to keep up with the flow without drowning in this accelerating tsunami. In that spirit, I give you below just a brief summary of those three data points and trust that you will follow the links and form your own opinions -- which I know you will share in the Comments section down below.
BRZEZINSKI THROWS UP ON HIS CHESSBOARD
His book "The Grand Chessboard" was published in 1997 as a public announcement of the roadmap that the New World Order intended to follow in its next step towards global domination. But men like Putin and Xi had other plans. Indeed, as Joseph P. Farrell has mentioned in radio interviews earlier this year, a divorce between the Kissinger faction and the Brzezinski faction appears to have taken place.
Even Brzezinski himself appears to be abandoning his own ship. Dr. Farrell quoted from this recent ZeroHedge article and brought that point to our attention:
The main architect of Washington’s plan to rule the world has abandoned the scheme and called for the forging of ties with Russia and China.... "The first of these verities is that the United States is still the world’s politically, economically, and militarily most powerful entity but, given complex geopolitical shifts in regional balances, it is no longer the globally imperial power."
Dr. Farrell also posted a link to another editorial about this shocking about-face from Brzezinski (linked here.) The author just comes right out and says it ... the guy is scared:
Brzezinski sees both the growing weakness of the United States government and the increasing strength of Russia and China. Barely hidden under the surface, Brzezinski’s message to the United States government is: start forming partnerships or become irrelevant…or worse.
Now, there are many reasons for Zbigniew's "come to Lucifer" moment, but one not mentioned above could be the one that Pepe Escobar has certainly not shied away from: say hello to the Double Pivot.
Again we must give credit to Jim Willie who theorized, at least two years ago, that the two "wild cards" to watch for would be potential pivots eastward by Germany and Turkey. What have we seen in the past month? Out of nowhere, Erdogan is now thumbing his nose at NATO day after day. He has likewise experienced his "come to Allah" moment as he whiffs all the future profit potential blowing from the Eurasian Economic Union.
Germany has been perched very carefully on its fence between West and East. Pepe Escobar probably couldn't stand the suspense anymore and simply has come right out and said it (linked here):
Slowly but surely — see for instance the possibility of an ATM (Ankara-Tehran-Moscow) coalition in the making — global power continues to insist on shifting East. That goes beyond Russia's pivoting to Asia; Germany's industrialists are just waiting for the right political conjunction, before the end of the decade, to also pivot to Asia, conforming a BMB (Berlin-Moscow-Beijing) coalition. Germany already rules over Europe. The only way for a global trade power to solidify its reach is to go East.
Say what you want about Germany, whether it be the recent Fascist Nazi Power or the older Holy Roman Empire, the Germans are not stupid and never have been.
Pepe goes on to write:
Russia's pivot to Asia is of course only part of the story. The core of Russia's industries, infrastructure, population is in the west of the country, closer to Europe. BMB would allow a double pivot — simultaneously to Europe and Asia; or Russia exploiting to the max its Eurasian character. Not accidentally this is absolute anathema for Washington.
Naturally we all shudder to think what military reaction the neocon relics of the West might want to launch to "contain" Russia-China. Let's hope we can rely on Pepe's surmise:
Exceptionalistan only attacks those who can't defend themselves.
... and that weakness certainly does not apply to Russia-China. This rising spectre of the fortunate Double Pivot that now leaves Putin with one foot west and one foot east couldn't come at a better time as China's President Xi now prepares to pull out all the stops at the Dragon's Debutante Ball next week in Hangzhou.
"IMPRESS THE WORLD WITH WHAT YOU CAN DO"
Don't hold your breath waiting for an informative preview of the upcoming G20 Summit in Hangzhou from Fox News or CNN. Thankfully we are still allowed to get that information from the world wide web. I recommend this article from the South China Morning Post (linked here.)
Expect the G20 Hangzhou summit to be carefully choreographed, not unlike the still-mind-boggling show we witnessed at the Beijing 2008 Summer Olympics.
The editor of the article, Zhou Xin, goes on to make these pertinent and somewhat breathtaking points:
Tristram Sainsbury, a research fellow at the G20 Studies Centre at Australia’s Lowy Institute for International Policy, said that amid a backlash against globalisation in rich countries, China’s efforts to make G20 relevant should not be read as “China taking leadership away from the West” but as “a way of China working cooperatively with other G20 countries to promote collective good”.
“It’s interesting to see that an emerging market country might need to provide leadership on globalisation,” he said. “This summit offers quite an opportunity to display the leadership of China and the leadership of Xi Jinping.”
China is also linking this year’s G20 agenda to the UN’s development goals for 2030 and is implanting the concept of structural reform, a catchphrase of Xi’s economic thinking, into G20 documents.
After July’s meeting of G20 finance ministers and central bank governors in Chengdu, Finance Minister Lou Jiwei hailed agreements on key areas, guidelines and even a measurement system for structural reform as a “milestone” in the forums’ evolvement into a long-term governance mechanism.
Sainsbury said Xi and his counterparts, building on those ministerial preparations, could announce new measures to boost confidence in the world economy and the globalisation process at the Hangzhou summit. Xi has a track record of delivering something tangible at big events – at last year’s military parade celebrating the 70th anniversary of victory over Japan, he announced the People’s Liberation Army would shed 300,000 non-combat personnel.
“It’s an opportunity too good to be missed,” Zhu said. “China has always been complaining about the West dominating the global agenda, and now the baton is in your hand and it’s your turn to impress the world with what you can do.”
The author then notes the challenges China faces to "hold the G20 together." But we suspect that the new financial instrument that the International Monetary Fund has blessed will be a step in that direction.
THE SDR CHERRY ON TOP
Not to be overlooked is this week's first issuance by China of the new SDR-denominated bond. Team Rogue Money has been on top of this development ever since the first whispers began to be carried on the wind. How convenient that the issuance comes just before the G20 summit. We wonder what further "new measures to boost confidence" will be forthcoming from the conference.
We also wonder if US Treasury Secretary Jack Lew will have anything to impart at the G20. He seems to insist that America has not yet been isolated. Though we find it just a bit comical that the Treasury Secretary actually noticed that the potential for isolation now looms. He should have listened to Brzezinski.
Video posted from this Brookings article (linked here):
ORDER FROM CHAOS
How will China’s success at the G-20 summit be measured?
by Cheng Li and Zachary Balin
Monday, August 29, 2016
The Hangzhou summit is an opportunity for China to project to leaders of G-20 countries—and to the world—that it takes global governance seriously.
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