U.S. Withdrawal in Return for Damascus' Assistance in Locating MIA CIA Agents?
What the Russian Analyst can reveal this week is that London Paul declared to Team RogueMoney in an email that U.S.-Russia back channel diplomacy, including through direct 'deconfliction' contacts between top American generals and Moscow's commanders on the ground in Syria, remain unaffected by the hysteria on Capitol Hill. What is being discussed now between the American and Russian generals goes beyond avoiding any accidents in the skies over the country or clashes between their respective clients the Kurdish Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) and the victorious Syrian Arab Army (SAA).
Elijah J. Magnier, a well respected journalist for Kuwait based Al-Rai media with excellent sources from Beirut to Baghdad, has confirmed that the CIA is signaling to Syrian intelligence that the Trump Administration intends to withdraw U.S. troops from Kurdish areas in the not so distant future. According to the thread Magnier tweeted late Thursday night Eastern time/early morning in the Levant, the quid pro quo for U.S. withdrawal from Syria will be Damascus assistance in locating missing CIA agents who are either alive or dead, who disappeared on unspecified missions inside the country. In response to this story, The Sirius Report's London Paul emailed:
The Trump Administration's Priority in Syria:
'Countering Iranian Influence' Taking a Back Seat to Preventing an ISIS Resurgence,
In other words, contrary to the hot air among neocons about American troops occupying northeastern Syria's Kurdish areas indefinitely in violation of international law, London Paul's statements about the weakness of the U.S. position in the Mideast are confirmed by Magnier's reporting. Furthermore, the recent ISIS claimed Home Depot rental truck attack in Manhattan has made the New York native President Trump even more focused on preventing Daesh terrorists from infiltrating the U.S. and allied countries. Without Damascus or Moscow's cooperation, it will be difficult for the FBI or CIA to assist Homeland Security or MI5 in vetting Syrians claiming refugee status or jihadists from the former Soviet Central Asia seeking asylum from the region's autocrats.
Counter-terror interests have compelled deputies to the chiefs of Germany's BND and the French DGSE to visit Damascus under conditions of strict secrecy in the last two years. Naturally, the Israel/Saudi Lobby neocons and globalists dismiss any talk of Washington needing Syrian or Russian intelligence as useless, since they (falsely) insist Russia never gave the U.S. anything useful regarding terror plots after 9/11 (the most fanatical Russophobes like ex-NSA analyst John R. Schindler claim the Russians puppeteer Al-Qaeda/ISIS, despite the massive amount of funding these groups receive from America's Sunni Gulf allies).
With Daesh Defeated, Growing Risks of a Second Israel-Hezbollah War
However, as with many things in the Mideast, what at first appears to be a hopeful sign for peace in the region could exacerbate long simmering tensions between Damascus and the players not happy over their failed regime change proxy war leaving the Iranian-backed Assad in power. The draw-down and eventual withdrawal of American special forces and contractors from Syrian soil is indeed a reflection of Americans' lack of stomach for another Mideast occupation, even one conducted on a much smaller scale than in Iraq. But the flip side of the coin is that American troops could be 'getting out of the way' from Iranian backed militia retaliation on both sides of the Syraq border, should open hostilities erupt between Iran's proxy Hezbollah and Israel over the next several weeks.
This week's IAF strike on a factory in Syria's Homs province not far from the Lebanese border may be another effort by Tel Aviv to provoke a harsh response from Hezbollah. Thus far Damascus has responded by firing its 1980s vintage Soviet SAMs to drive off Israeli jets, without any confirmed kills.
A hasty exit from Syrian Kurdistan leaving behind only skeleton crews at the U.S. air strip bases established in the area would be a clear signal, along with a pullback to central Baghdad and Iraqi Kurdish areas, that the Americans are hunkering down from the potential Shia militia threat. In Iraq, pro-Iranian forces and politicians have not been shy about demanding that the Americans leave as soon as Daesh is finished off. That date now appears to be imminent, particularly after the Barzani mafia was humiliated in its aborted bid for Kurdish independence.
The timing over the next few pre-Thanksgiving holiday weeks, as W the Intelligence Insider has declared in emails to Team RogueMoney, seems right. With the last pockets of Daeshbags cleared out in Deir Ez Zor, the SAA and its Lebanese Hezbollah allies are advancing against the final ISIS stronghold on the Syraq border, at the Syrian town of Al-Bukamal. Russian strategic Tupolev 22M bombers struck ISIS targets near the town on Wednesday. The TU22M's used Iranian and Iraqi air space for the strikes, while Russian President Vladimir Putin was wrapping up his highly symbolic state visit to Iran.
Putin Visits Tehran, Russia and Iran Sign $30 Billion in Deals Included Gas Pipeline to India
The message of this visit, including the announcement of an expanded North South Corridor stretching from St. Petersburg, Russia to Mumbai, India and Russian assistance in the construction of a mega gas pipeline from Iranian fields to the energy hungry Indian subcontinent (including Pakistan), was unmistakable. Israel's pinprick air strikes against Syrian military production facilities likely built with Iranian money and assistance cannot effect Russian investment in Tehran's unstoppable economic rise. Nor can Israel's friends in Washington prevent the new Persia from integrating into the One Belt One Road (OBOR) project of the 21st century, of which the North South Corridor through the former Soviet Caucuses republics and the Caspian Sea shared with Russia is an integral part.
Nonetheless, the neocon Iran haters received a Halloween trick and treat from Trump's CIA director Mike Pompeo, in the form of declassified documents supposedly seized during the May 2, 2011 special forces raid on Osama bin Laden's 'compound' in Abbottabad. The attempt to manipulate the documents and highlight alleged examples of Iranian authorities assisting Bin Laden loyalists and relatives in passing through or residing in Iran was too much for some former CIA agents like Ned Price, who saw it as yet another attempt by Trump Administration hardliners to undermine the U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement:
Despite Neocon/CIA Efforts to Divert Attention from Saudi Arabia's Role in 9/11 and Longtime Sponsorship of ISIS by 'Linking' Iran to Al-Qaeda, U.S. Cannot Unilaterally Reimpose Sanctions
The problem for the Trump Administration being, as Obama's Secretary of State John Kerry stated a few years ago, is that U.S. allies could simply ignore an Israel-appeasing decision to tear up the agreement and proceed as if it were still in effect. The U.S. could counter by sanctioning countries like Germany, France or Italy whose railway, trucking, refining and heavy machinery industries are expanding deals in Iran, but such extra-territorial sanctions have already received the threat of replies from Brussels if not Paris and Berlin. On a related note, one of the reasons the Rex Tillerson led State Department is delaying implementation of measures Congress passed months ago as part of the 'Countering America's Adversaries Through Sanctions Act' is because the punishments for doing business with Russia's cutting edge armaments industries would either have to be waived or applied to partners of U.S. arms exporters in Turkey and especially, India.
While Washington insists it wants to keep Ankara in NATO and sees it as a trustworthy partner, the Pentagon has already complained Turkish purchasing of Russia's S400 air defense system hurts inter-operability within the Alliance. India is an even bigger prize for both the American and Russian military industrial complexes, with the Russians firmly in the lead after decades of deals and Delhi buying the S400, T90 tanks and Sukhoi fighter jets. Moscow and Delhi are also jointly developing the Brahmos hypersonic missile and stealthy Sukhoi PAK 5th generation jet while India's interest in the Armata MBT is strong. Thus the absurd contradiction between Washington and Tel Aviv courting India as a huge defense and civilian technology export market while simultaneously trying to punish the Indians for importing more Iranian gas. There is no way for the most brilliant minds Trump may assemble to square this circle on behalf of the tail in the southeastern Mediterranean which likes to wag the big American dog (or as they say in Texas, "that dog won't hunt").
'Linking' Iran to Al-Qaeda Isn't Intended to Persuade U.S. EU Allies to Restore Sanctions Against Tehran, It's to Start Rationalizing a Build Up for a Big War with Hezbollah
Nonetheless, a neocon cabal out of ideas and which senses it's running out of time may be turning to the favorite tool in the box to the looming threat of economic and monetary irrelevancy: war. If global thermonuclear war with Russia and China is too risky for The Cabal as London Paul calls them, going to that old post-Soviet 1990s Pentagon planning standby of attempting to wage two major theater wars at once on opposite ends of the Eurasian landmass might be the next best thing to buy the dying dollar more time. Or so the dangerously delusional if not psychotic minds demanding ever more demonization of Russia as a means to conflict with North Korea and Iran may think. The Russian Analyst is not so good at putting himself in the shoes of such people, but we do notice how the 'link Iran to Al-Qaeda' drum beat in the dying legacy media right on the heels of the hearings on Capitol Hill in which tech executives were berated for their failure to prevent Russian cognitive infiltration of hapless, gullible Americans' brains via trolling memes (we'll have more to say about that soon).
It is hard to say if the two minutes hates against Russia/Iran projects, while undeniably linked, have reached a crescendo sufficient to excite Americans into supporting a big Mideast conflict either concurrent with or preceding a second Korean War. In the estimation of W the Intelligence Insider, Israeli leaders believe they need to strike Hezbollah hard and achieve some sort of decisive blow before precision guided munition (PGM) shortages become an issue for the American military from bombing North Korea. On the other hand, as the Russian Analyst has observed frequently here at RogueMoney, the memories of a stinging defeat at the hands of Hezbollah and total failure of the IDF's ground offensive into Lebanon have not faded for many Israeli elites. Thus the Mideast appears to be on the knife's edge, as the losers from the New Paradigm feel the clock ticking down to a do or (geopolitical-ly) die moment.