The Lessons of Barbarossa for NATO's New 'Defensive' Drang Nach Osten and Partial Occupation of Ukraine: National Will and Not Just Technology Matters in Warfare
(Though Russian Intel and Military Tech Usually Comes as a Nasty Surprise)
Although the specter of a hot war with Russia is receding, thanks to the election of Donald J. Trump and the unseen efforts of many 'white hats' in intelligence agencies across the (post)West, there are still many lessons from World War II (to Russians, the Great Patriotic War) that those still pushing for confrontation with Moscow deliberately forget. Including their false belief that wars are won through superior technology if not organization, rather than through the more brutal combination of logistics, cunning and will.
When Hitler's generals saw the advance slow to less than two miles a day in the mud of late October, those who had read about Napoleon Bonaparte's disastrous campaign of 1812 recalled in their post-war memoirs getting that first sinking feeling in their guts. That sense, though unspoken, that perhaps God was not on the side of the Third Reich. Hitler of course, believed that with one more massive push Soviet resistance could be broken at the Russian capital. And indeed, while there was panic and some Soviet officials hastily sought to flee, those sentiments were ruthlessly suppressed by the NKVD [predecessor to the KGB] declaring martial law. Sending the message that Stalin intended to stay in the capitol to the bitter end, on November 7, the Soviets defiantly held their October Revolution parade through Red Square. Thousands of men streamed through Red Square, under the cover of steady snowfall, the Red Air Force, and the massed anti-aircraft guns and balloons around the city. Many of the troops who participated marched straight to the front lines.
The Assassination of Ukrainian Historian Oles Buzina by Ukro-Fascists, Because He Told the Truth About WW2, Stepan Bandera and the Polish Civilian Mass Murdering UPA
To apply some of the lessons from that era to the present, the Russia Analyst turned to the translated work of Oles Buzina, an anti-Maidan historian opposed to the Washington instigated, fratricidal war in the Donbass where the Ukrainian grandsons of Red Army heroes kill each other. Enraging his ultranationalist and Ukro-Nazi detractors, Mr. Buzina referred to himself as 'a Ukrainian -- which is a type of Russian'. Buzina was shot dead outside his apartment building in Kiev on April 16, 2015.
Another 'Ratlines' and Operation Paperclip Nazi Protected from Justice
The following are Buzina's commentaries on the memoirs of SS-Obersturmbannführer Otto 'Scarface' Skorzeny, a Nazi war criminal wanted immediately after VE Day on charges of training his men to wear American uniforms and infiltrate U.S. lines, and murdering captured GIs during the Battle of the Bulge [as depicted in the opening of the film Harts War] . The postwar 'ratlines', many of them run by the Vatican or the OSS/CIA for their former foes, saw to it that Skorzeny never was shot or hanged for his crimes. In recent months, to the great embarrassment of the Mossad and the tarnishing of Israel's reputation for ruthlessly hunting down Nazi war criminals, it has come to light that Skorzeny worked as an assassin for the Israelis, killing German rocket scientists working for the Egyptians.
Hitler’s favorite commando who became an Israeli hitman pic.twitter.com/suEI2RvtA7
— IN THE NOW (@IntheNow_tweet) December 29, 2016
Skorzeny Recognized If He Stayed Longer on the Moscow Front He'd End Up Dead
At any rate, Buzina makes clear certain lessons that 'scarface', Hitler's super soldier who (if you believe the story of the SS commando's greatest exploit) rescued the Italian dictator Benito Mussolini from his alpine confinement, never forgot. Which is that going to war with Russia is bound to be extremely bloody business, and to come with great shocks and setbacks, particularly to lengthy supply chains that inevitably break down and come under attack:
The Limits of Blitzkrieg aka "Shock and Awe" and Lack of Serious Preparation for Long and Bloody Warfare: What NATO Has in Common Today with Hitler's Wehrmacht of 1941
Such as Hitler's troops discovering on December 4, 1941 that not only were the Sturmoviks overhead about to strafe them not friendly, but that their anti-aircraft and anti-tank guns had frozen up, and keeping tank engines from freezing required burning fuel the Wehrmacht didn't have. And that some of the Wehrmacht's shells simply bounced off the front armor of the new T-34. Or that 'Stalin's screamers' the theretofore secret weapon of truck-mounted Katyushas could blast holes in their lines [see the War on the Rocks article "Outnumbered, Outranged, and Outgunned: How Russia Defeats NATO" or American expat in Italy Vox Day's essay explaining why "NATO Cannot Stop Russia" on Russia's doorstep]:
Thanks to nothing less than Divine Providence, the Russia Analyst has hope that American soldiers will ever experience what the Germans felt on December 5, 1941, when the Soviets unleashed a massive counteroffensive that put what had been the best army in the world on its heels. Thanks to the election of Trump, the U.S. will have a Secretary of Defense in James Mattis who has known war, and who knows the costs of war from having buried some of the U.S. Marines under his command -- instead of a neocon airhead like Eveyln Farkas who has probably never read about much less understood how Hitler's thousand year Reich died in the mud, blood and snows near Moscow and Stalingrad.
— Harald Doornbos (@HaraldDoornbos) December 2, 2016
The problem, as has been observed by very intelligent observers such as Dr. Paul Craig Roberts, is that a whole generation of Washington wonks and bureaucrats have come of age since 1991 imagining only conventional invincibility for the American military (not addressing of course, the costly occupations of Afghanistan and Iraq). That is men and women like Mrs. Farkas' only reference point is easy U.S. victories over completely overmatched and weak conventional foes from Serbia to Iraq. They've deliberately forgotten if they ever knew that all the way up until the mid-1980s or so (when the Reagan defense build up led to a surge of modern tanks, anti-tank missiles and the modernization of the Alliance's tactical aircraft) NATO doctrine called for first use of nuclear weapons to blunt the large Soviet advantages in tanks, troops and artillery firepower in Germany. A former U.S. Army officer who goes by the alias 'Shellback' recalled this history vividly in an article for Russia Insider titled, "Why NATO Would Probably Lose a [Non-Nuclear Land] War with Russia":
Thank God, we will probably never see the shocked faces of captured Polish or American advisers standing next to thousands of Ukrainian POWs overrun by Russia's 1st Guards Tank Army in Donbass; or piles of Romanian Army corpses outside Tiraspol after neocon crazies decided a NATO occupation of Moldova followed by a joint Romanian-Ukrainian blockade of Transnistria would be a good idea; or the ruins of U.S. JSOC bases inside Syria incinerated by Kalibr missiles in retaliation for U.S. strikes on Russian troops. All of that could have been 'on the menu' had the war hag Hillary Clinton, with her vows of vengeance against the Russians for hacking the DNC and the classified server she put in her bathroom, won on November 8.
Despite the efforts of Republicrat McCainiacs and Democan warmongers in Congress to pass H.R. 5732, the probability of the Empire of Chaos trying and failing to fight Russia to the last Syrian if not Ukrainian diminishes with every day. For now, it is only by looking back at the last time 75 years ago a 'united Europe' started a war with Russia, that the 'defensive alliance' of NATO which attacked two sovereign nations in the last seventeen years, can recognize why another Drang Nach Osten is a very, very bad idea. Which in turn, must lead the remnants of 'the West' to the path of detente and reform.
Just as the Soviets by bringing Gorbachev to power abandoned the idea of gaining a decisive upper hand in the first Cold War by the early 1980s, in part due to the Reagan defense build up, the Eurasian build up of Putin and Xi has forced Washington's 'Deep State' to accept an economic and foreign policy reformist in Donald Trump's presidency.
— BANKSTER SLAYER (@banksterslayer) December 4, 2016
Let us pray that Cold War 2.0 and the wind up of the US(S)A's Empire in Europe and Asia is concluded as peacefully as the end of the Soviet Empire was from 1989-91. The alternatives are too terrible to contemplate. Tough 'trust but verify' negotiations are ahead for Presidents Trump and Putin regarding Ukraine, Syria, nuclear arms and other subjects. But we can take solace in the fact that it's been done before.